The perpetrator is either one or the other of the two persons X and Y. Both persons are on the run from the authorities, and after an initial investigation, both fugitives appear equally likely to be the perpetrator. Further investigation reveals that the actual perpetrator has blood type A. 10% of the population has blood type A; you may assume that the innocent one of persons X and Y has a 10% chance of having blood type A. In the investigation, you find two samples of blood; the first sample belongs to person X, and the second sample belongs to person Y. In the process of testing the blood, the sample belonging to person Y was accidentally destroyed (you may assume that the destruction was random). The sample belonging to person X was determined to be blood type A. In light of this new information, find the probability that person X is the perpetrator

Answers

Answer 1

Answer:

The probability is [tex]P(X | B) = 0.91[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Generally the probability of the perpetrator being X  is equal  to the probability of the perpetrator being Y (given that both fugitives appear equally likely to be the perpetrator )

This can be mathematically represented as

         [tex]P(X) = P(Y) = \frac{1}{2}[/tex]

Let G represent the event that  the blood type of the sample is  type A

Generally if X has a blood type A then it is almost certain that the perpetrator is  X compared to Y

This can be mathematically represented as

        [tex]P(G | X) = 1[/tex]  

( Here this means  the probability of the sample being of type A given that the X has a blood type A )

Given that the sample belonging to Y  accidentally destroyed

   Then the probability that Y is innocent given that the blood type of  Y is of type  A

 This can be mathematically represented as

         [tex]P(G | Y) = 10\%[/tex]

         [tex]P(G | Y) = 0.10[/tex]

Generally according to  Bayes rule  the probability that person X is the perpetrator  mathematically as

         [tex]P(X | G) = \frac{P(G|X) * P(X)}{ P(G|X) * P(X) + P(G | Y ) * P(Y)}[/tex]

       [tex]P(X | B) = \frac{1 * 0.5 }{ 1 * 0.5 + 0.10 * 0.5}[/tex]

        [tex]P(X | B) = 0.91[/tex]

     

           

   


Related Questions

how to graph (1.4) on a line; m is undefined ​

Answers

Answer:

hopefully this helpeddd

Step-by-step explanation:

A recipe for homemade modeling clay includes 1/3 cup of salt for every cup of water. If there are 6 cups of salt, how many gallons of water are needed?

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

If for a cup of water, 1/3 cup of salt is needed, to get the number of gallons of water needed for 6 cups of salt, we will use the following equation;

1/3 cup of salts = 1 cup of water

6 cups of salt = x cups of water

cross multiply

1/3 * x= 6*1

x/3 = 6

multiply both sides by 3

x/3 * 3 = 6*3

x = 18

Hence 6 cups of salt will need 18 gallons of water

Two rhombuses with the same side lengths are always congruent ?

Answers

Answer:

False

Step-by-step explanation:

A rhombus is a quadrilateral with

1. all side length equal

2. opposite side parallel

3. opposite angles are congruent.

______________________________________

If there are two rhombus with same side length ,

conditions so that they must be always congruent.

1. Side length must be equal

2. corresponding angles to equal sides must also be equal.

It is possible that the sides of two rhombus will be same

but their angles can differ and hence the two rhombus may or may not be congruent.

Thus,

Two rhombuses with the same side lengths are always congruent

given statement is false

An Integrated Circuit (IC) chip is declared as "good" if it passes the quality acceptance test. Otherwise, the chip is declared as "bad". A mechanical machine produces two IC chips in pairs. Tests show that the first chip is good with probability 3/5. When the first chip is good, the probability that the second chip is good is 4/5. When the first chip is bad, the probability that the second chip is good is 2/5. a) What is the probability that both chips are good? b) What is the probability that both chips are bad? c) What is the probability that exactly one chip is good?

Answers

Answer:

a) The probability of both chips being good = 0.48

b) The probability of both chips being bad = 0.24

c) The probability of one chip being good = 0.60

Step-by-step explanation:

Probability of first chip being good = 3/5 = 0.60

Probability of second chip being good = 4/5 = 0.80

Probability of first chip being bad = 0.40 or 2/5 (1 - 3/5)

Probability of second chip being good if the first is bad = 2/5 = 0.4

Therefore, the probability of it being bad = 0.60 (1 - 0.40)

For both chips to be good, the probability = 0.60 * 0.80 = 0.48

For both chips to be bad, the probability = 0.60 * 0.40 = 0.24

Please help me asap

Answers

Answer:

-8d - 3 + 6 +d

you can't subtract 2d and 3 so you bring what's outside the parenthesis to inside the  parenthesis

what is 2,970,000 in scientific notation

Answers

Answer:

i think its 2.97 x 106

Step-by-step explanation:

hope its right/helps

Round the number 502.6439 to the underlined place. The underlined number is 3

Answers

The 9 is higher than 5, so the 3 will round up to 4

502.644

What is the solution to this equation?
X/4= -12

Answers

Multiply by 4 to get -48

A right rectangular prism is packed with cubes of side length Fraction 1 over 6 inch. If the prism is packed with 12 cubes along the length, 3 cubes along the width, and 2 cubes along the height, what is the volume of the prism?

Answers

a right rectangular cause they 9 cancels the 5

2) The foundations of any Euclidean geometry, at their most basic, exist on the principal concepts of which of
the following?
a) Undefined terms
c) Postulates
b) Theorems
d) Assumptions

Answers

answer is b- Theorems

Answer:

c im pretty sure but not 100%

Step-by-step explanation:

edge

Line l passes through the points (- 4, 3) and (2, 1) What is the slope of a line that is perpendicular l

Answers

Answer:

m=1

Step-by-step explanation:

The plots (-4,3) and (2,1) have a slope of -1. Perpendicular lines would mirror that, making it a positive 1

WidgCo is a company that produces and sells widgets. Let p denote the price per widget (measured in dollars), and let x be the monthly demand for widgets. WidgCo's marketing department determines that p and x are related by the following demand equation: p(x) = 211 − 5x. The cost of producing x widgets is given by C(x) = 1,401 + 16x. Construct the revenue function, R(x). Find the production level that will result in the maximum revenue. Find the maximum monthly revenue. Enter your answer to part c in the box below. Round your answer to the nearest cent.

Answers

Answer:

The answer to this question can be defined as follows:

i) [tex]\bold{p(x)= -5x^2+ 217x- 1,401} \\[/tex]

ii) x=22 units

iii) Maximum profit: 953.45

Step-by-step explanation:

Given value:

p(x) = 211 − 5x \\

C(x) = 1,401 + 16x

The formula for calculating the profit function value:

[tex]\to \bold{P(x)= xp(x) - C(x)}[/tex]

             [tex]= x(211-5x)- 1,401 + 16x\\\\= 211x -5x^2-1,401+16x\\\\= -5x^2+ 217x- 1,401 \\[/tex]

The formula for calculating the value for maximum profit:

[tex]p'(x) = - 10x + 217 =0[/tex]

[tex]217= 10x\\\\x= \frac{217}{10}\\\\x= 21.7[/tex]

So, the production level is 22 units

Maximum profit:

[tex]\to p(21.7)= - 5 (21.7)^2+217 (21.7) -1,401\\\\[/tex]

           [tex]=-5 (470.89) +217 (21.7) -1,401\\\\=-2354.45+ 4708.9-1,401\\\\= 953.45[/tex]

The maximum monthly revenue of WidgCo is; $489

We are given;

price function; p(x) = 211 - 5x

Cost function; C(x) = 1401 + 16x

We know that revenue would be gotten by the formula;

Revenue = number of units sold × price per unit

Thus;

R(x) = x(211 - 5x)

Expanding this gives;

R(x) = 211x - 5x²

Maximum revenue will be the revenue for the number of widgets when R'(x) = 0. Thus;

R'(x) = 211 - 10x

At R'(x) = 0, we have;

211 - 10x = 0

x = 211/10

x = 21.1

x ≈ 21 widgets

Thus;

Maximum Revenue is;

R(20) = 195(21) - 1401 - 5(21)²

R(20) = $489

Read more about revenue function at; https://brainly.com/question/6394733

........what’s the value of x?

Answers

Answer:

110

Step-by-step explanation:

Which theorem or postulate proves the two triangles are similar?
10
20
5
Not drawn to scale
SSS Theorem
AA Postulate
O AS Postulate
SAS Theorem

Answers

Answer:

sss i think

Step-by-step explanation:

uh im not 100% sure

5
Type the correct answer in each box.
Functions hand k are inverse functions, and both are defined for all real numbers.
Using this relationship, what is the value of each function composition?
(h o k)(3)=
(K o h)(-46)=

Answers

Answer:

(h o k)(3)=  3

(K o h)(-4b)= - 4b

Step-by-step explanation:

Composition of a function and its inverse function returns the input

(h o k)(3)=  3

(K o h)(-4b)= - 4b

Answer:

[tex](h\circ k)(3)=3[/tex]

[tex](k\circ h)(-4b)=-4b[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Remember that for two functions to be inverses, the following must be true:

[tex]h(k(x))=k(h(x))=x[/tex]

Since we know they are indeed inverses, they are true.

So, whatever input we put in, we'll just get it back out again.

So, for our first problem:

[tex](h\circ k)(3)[/tex]

We can rewrite this as:

[tex]=h(k(3))[/tex]

We can imagine our x being 3 here.

Therefore, using the above identity, we can conclude that:

[tex]h(k(3))=3[/tex]

For our second example, the same thing:

[tex](k\circ h)(-4b)[/tex]

This is the same as saying:

[tex]k(h(-4b))[/tex]

Again, using the above property, we can imagine our x is -4b. So, this will be equivalent to:

[tex]k(h(-4b))=-4b[/tex]

And we're done!

If a car travels 82 miles in 1.5 hours, how far will it travel in 6 hours

Answers

Should be 327.6 miles
328 miles in 6 hours because 1.5 x 4 = 6 so 6x82=328

Hello, please help me with this question. Thank you.

Answers

Answer:

I’m thinking it’s C, 119 degrees

Step-by-step explanation:

180 - 61 =119

Help please

1 1/2% of what number is 10.05

Answers

Answer:

10/25%

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer: 15.075%

Please mark me as Brainliest

89,659 to the nearest thosannd

Answers

Answer:

100,000

Step-by-step explanation:

90,000 is the answer

What is the scale factor of ABC to DEF?

A.6
B.8
C.1/8
D.1/6

Answers

Answer:

eight

Step-by-step explanation:

The scale factor of ΔABC to ΔDEF is 8. Hence, option B is the right choice.

What is a scale factor?

The scale factor between two figures (any dimensions) is the scale to which the original figure (preimage) is multiplied to make the transformed figure (image).

How do we solve the given question?

In ΔABC and ΔDEF,

AB/DE = BC/EF = CA/FD (Corresponding sides of triangle are in ratio)

∴ ΔABC ~ ΔDEF (SSS axiom)

The scale factor = A side of ΔDEF/Corresponding side of ΔABC = DE/AB = 48/6 = 8.

∴ The scale factor of ΔABC to ΔDEF is 8. Hence, option B is the right choice.

Learn more about the scale factor at

https://brainly.com/question/10253650

#SPJ2

Cuánto es 5 2/3 - 11/12=

Answers

Answer:

4.75

Step-by-step explanation:

find the value of x.

Answers

Answer:

144

Step-by-step explanation:

please solve thanks​

Answers

12x^4y^16 could be wrong not sure
This is the answer I got

Jonas wants to serve serve 48 people one cup of tea each. How many gallons of tea must he prepare?

Answers

Answer:

3 gallons

Step-by-step explanation:

1 gallon=16 cups

48÷16=3

3 gallons makes 48 cups

You can walk 1 1/12 miles in 1/2 hour.

What is your average speed?

Answers

Answer:

3 miles per hour

Step-by-step explanation:

there are (2) 1/2 hours in an hour (I hope that made sense) so multiply 1 1/2 by 2 to get 3

Hope this helps :-)

Find the product of -5.3(-0.5)

A. 4.1
B. 2.65
C. 2.75
D. 3.45

Answers

Answer: is B 2.65

Step-by-step explanation:

The answer would be B

Suppose a number is chosen at random from the set {0,1,2,3,...,497}.

What is the probability that the number is a perfect cube?

Answers

Answer: 4/249

===========================================================

Explanation:

Cube values in the set {0,1,2,3,...} until we reach a result larger than 497

0^3 = 01^3 = 12^3 = 83^3 = 274^3 = 645^3 = 1256^3 = 2167^3 = 3438^3 = 512

We stop here because 512 is larger than 497.

Or you could note that [tex]\sqrt[3]{497} = 497^{1/3} \approx 7.921[/tex] helping us see that we stop at 8.

The list of nonnegative perfect cubes less than 497 is {0,1,8,27,64,125,216,343}

There are 8 items in that set out of 498 items in the set {0,1,2,3,...,497}

So the probability of getting a perfect cube is 8/498 = 4/249

find the slope, vertical and horizontal intercept of (2,9) and (4,3)​

Answers

Answer:

Slope: -3

Vertical Intercept (y-intercept): 15

Horizontal Intercept (x-intercept): 5

Step-by-step explanation:

[tex]\frac{3-9}{4-2}[/tex] = [tex]\frac{-6}{2}[/tex] = -3

then we put the slope into point slope form.

y-9=-3(x-2)

in order to find the x-intercept, we need to make the y value 0.

-9=-3(x-2) ⇒-9=-3x+6 then subtract 6 from both sides.

-15=-3x divide both sides by -3 to get 5, the x-intercept.

in order to find the y-intercept, we need to make the x value 0.

y-9=-3(-2) ⇒y-9=6 then add 9 to both sides.

y=15

Function or not?? Please help

Answers

Answer:

not a function

Step-by-step explanation:

This would not pass the vertical line test, so it is not a function

Answer:

This not a function

Step-by-step explanation:

I need help with answering this equation -2x = -16

Answers

Answer:

x= 8

Step-by-step explanation:

Divide -2 on both sides to solve for x

x=8

Answer:

x=8

Step-by-step explanation:

Divide each term by -2 and simplify.

Hope this helps. Plz give brainliest.

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